'Not Welcome!': Labour's Clash with Public Houses Promises a Fresh Year Problem.

Elected representatives visiting their local areas this weekend might experience a wave of respite as a hectic political term wraps up. But, for those hoping to stop by their community tavern for a relaxing beer, festive cheer could be scarce. Indeed, some may discover they are not allowed through the door.

Over the past few weeks, venues throughout the nation have been putting up signs that proclaim "MPs Barred" in demonstration to adjustments in commercial property taxes unveiled by the Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, in her autumn financial statement.

This campaign translates to one fewer escape for many elected officials seeking solace from the bruising reality of their party's unpopularity. Representatives now describe commonplace antagonism in public spaces after a difficult first period that has seen the party's ratings fall from around a third to roughly 18%.

"It is difficult being the MP of the area you have always lived in," said one. "That pub is where we went with the kids and just be a ordinary family. But the last few times we've just ended up being confronted by other drinkers. Now I'm not even sure we'll be able to be served."

This feeling of frustration is visible in a online clip by Tom Hayes, the Member of Parliament for Bournemouth East, addressing being banned from one of his regular haunts, the Larderhouse.

"It's the Christmas season," he said. "Yet the Larderhouse and other establishments with a 'MPs Not Welcome' notice in the window, they are damaging the welcoming atmosphere that local entrepreneurs have helped to nourish." He went on, "We need to remove politics off the town centre full stop, but above all at Christmas."

A Cornerstone in the Public Consciousness

After a tough times marked by rising expenses, the pandemic, and changing habits, landlords were optimistic the budget might bring some relief—specifically through a long-promised overhaul of the business rates system.

But the chancellor dashed those hopes, keeping the system unreformed and choosing instead to lower the multiplier and commit £4.3bn over three years in aid for the shops, pubs, and restaurants sectors.

While perhaps a supportive move, the impact of that support package has been dwarfed by the effect of a periodic property revaluation, which has caused the rateable value of pubs and restaurants to increase sharply from their Covid-affected lows.

From next April, rates are set to increase by 115% for the typical hotel and 76% for a pub, versus just 4% for big grocery chains and seven percent for distribution warehouses. Whitbread, which operates pubs, restaurants and the Premier Inn hotel chain, states it will face an extra tax bill of between £40m and £50m as a consequence.

Joe Butler, the landlord at the Tollemache Arms in Northamptonshire, said: "With the click of a finger, the value of our business has doubled. That's going to be a massive rise for us."

This financial strain on business owners is inevitably passed on to the price of a punter's pint.

"A pint of beer is now prohibitively expensive. When we first took this pub on 10 years ago, we charged £3.40 a pint. We're now approaching £7 a pint," Butler stated.

Simultaneously, Covid-era tax breaks are ending, while hospitality operators are still absorbing increases in employer contributions and the minimum wage from last year's budget.

"To create the most damaging financial plan for the hospitality sector and its customers, you would have come close to what came out," stated Ash Corbett-Collins, the chairperson of Camra, the campaign for real ale.

Several within the governing party think this is a confrontation they ought to have avoided, not least because of the vital place the community pub holds in national life.

Richard Quigley, the Labour MP for the Isle of Wight West, who also runs a fish and chip shop on the island, said: "We pledged for two years to the sector that we are going to provide support but then they get slapped with this revaluation. We must not see rates being reduced for big corporations but increasing for local venues."

Commentators point out that Keir Starmer himself has often been a frequent patron at his local pub, the Pineapple in north London, and regularly mentions their importance to local communities. "There's nothing any of us like better than going to the pub for a drink, myself included," the PM remarked in February.

Yet strategists liken confronting publicans to taking on NHS workers in terms of public perception.

Joe Twyman, co-founder of the public opinion consultancy Deltapoll, noted: "In fiction and in fact, pubs have a special place in the public imagination.

"For many people the neighborhood inn is seen as an key pillar of the locality, even if a large segment of those same people will rarely actually drink there.

"The hazard with antagonising pubs is that your critics will readily accuse you of assaulting the very heart of this country and its heritage, notably in rural areas. And they will be able to produce many powerful examples to prove their point."

'A Matter of Principle'

One such example is Andy Lennox, the publican at the Old Thatch pub in Wimborne, Dorset, and the organiser of the "No Labour MPs" initiative. Lennox reports he has provided signs to nearly 1,000 venues and is sending out 100 more every day.

His action has received support from a number of prominent figures, such as broadcaster Jeremy Clarkson, who runs a pub called the Farmer's Dog, and singer Rick Astley, who part-owns a bar in north London—although the latter has clarified he will not actually ban Labour MPs.

"We have long sought relief for a considerable period," explained Lennox, who is demanding a short-term VAT reduction. "Ministers is dressing this up as a relief package but that's not what people are experiencing, and that is the thing that has aggrieved so many people."

Some within the industry think a campaign banning individual Labour MPs is could be counterproductive. "I doubt it's a effective strategy to ban the very individuals we should be trying to engage with and influence," said Corbett-Collins.

When asked this week, the Treasury highlighted the support being offered to the sector. "We're protecting the hospitality industry with the budget's £4.3bn support package. This follows our work to simplify licensing, keeping our cut to alcohol duty on beer from the tap, and limiting corporation tax," a official said.

The landlords, nevertheless, are in not the frame of mind to compromise, even if alienating MPs

Bryan Wallace
Bryan Wallace

Elara is a seasoned sports analyst with over a decade of experience in betting markets and statistical modeling.